By Tony Seba
Clean Disruption projections (based on expertise expense curves, company version innovation in addition to product innovation) convey that through 2030:
- All new power should be supplied via sunlight or wind.
- All new mass-market cars could be electric.
- All of those cars might be self reliant (self-driving) or semi-autonomous.
- the hot vehicle marketplace will cut down by way of 80%.
- Even assuming that EVs do not kill the gas automobile by means of 2030, the self-driving motor vehicle will diminish the hot automobile marketplace by means of 80%.
- fuel might be out of date. Nuclear is already obsolete.
- as much as eighty% of highways may be redundant.
- as much as eighty% of parking areas might be redundant.
- the concept that of person automobile possession might be obsolete.
- the auto coverage could be disrupted.
The Stone Age didn't finish simply because we ran out of rocks. It ended simply because a disruptive expertise ushered within the Bronze Age. The period of centralized, command-and-control, extraction-resource-based power assets (oil, fuel, coal and nuclear) won't finish simply because we run out of petroleum, normal fuel, coal, or uranium. it's going to finish simply because those power resources, the company types they hire, and the goods that maintain them may be disrupted by means of more desirable applied sciences, product architectures, and company types.
This is a technology-based disruption comparable to how the mobile phone, web, and private laptop swept away industries akin to landline telephony, publishing, and mainframe desktops. similar to these expertise disruptions flipped the structure of data and taken ample, affordable and participatory details, the fresh disruption will turn the structure of power and produce ample, affordable and participatory power. similar to these prior know-how disruptions, the fresh disruption is inevitable and it'll be swift.
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Extra resources for Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030
Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030 by Tony Seba